Pricing Strategy Simulator
The price you choose determines your odds of selling — not the quality of your house, not the season, not luck. See exactly where your target price lands on the probability curve.
Probability of selling
55%
85%
0–3% above
55%
4–7% above
20%
8%+ above
You're in the middle band. About half the homes priced here sell. The other half stall, drop their price, and eventually sell for less than they would have at a sharper price.
Based on Paul Mitchell's analysis of sold-vs-expired data. Your actual probability depends on condition, marketing, and the specific comparables — Paul will pull a full CMA for you on a 15-minute call.